Why Betting Big Ruins Your Own Price
Why a big bet shortens your own price, and why a 10 or 15 percent edge on paper shrinks once real money goes through.
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Why the Tote Is Costing You More Than You Think
Backing every runner on the tote loses about 14 percent of turnover, so the product you bet into costs you more than you think.
Warwick Farm Race 6 Preview: Call Me Gorgeous Rated $2.60
Warwick Farm race 6 preview and tips: a Fast tempo at 73.84% pressure, Kingsley's top four with rated prices, and why the closers hold the edge.
"Why Is Value Easier to Find in Some Races?"
My strongest bets come from races where I am against one or two in the market, not just keen on one horse.
Why Weight Is the First Thing to Check in a Melbourne Cup
How I use weight to rule horses out of the Melbourne Cup before I look at anything else.
"What Does It Actually Mean When You Say a Horse Is Value?"
When I call a horse value, I mean two things have lined up: the form factors and the price I can get.
How a Wide Barrier, Weight and Pace Map Change a Cup Chance
Why a wide barrier, extra weight and the likely tempo matter more than a runner's rating in a Melbourne Cup.