"What Sort of Racing Do You Get Your Best Results From?"
My best results don't come from a race type like maidens or benchmarks. They come from tracks carrying a bias.
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"Should You Use Finishing Speed Percentage in Your Form?"
A punter asked about the UK's finishing speed percentage. Here's how I'd think about any new form data before trusting it.
Why Every Punter Eventually Has to Reinvent Themselves
Edges don't last forever. Here's why punters have to reinvent themselves when the market catches up, and how new angles restore belief.
Why Is Every Bet Just an Edge and Not a Moral?
Every bet is just an edge over the true price, not a moral, and about 80 per cent of my bets lose.
"Should You Feed the Market Back Into Your Own Ratings?"
How much weight should you give the market when it disagrees with your own ratings? Blending smooths your prices, it doesn't change your opinion.
"How Do You Beat a Market That's Already Been Knocked Into Shape?"
Fixed odds markets open near 130 per cent and get knocked into shape fast, so you have to be far more selective.
"Is There Any Value Left in Futures Markets?"
Why I don't bet futures markets, and what the market percentage and a long wait for fixed odds really cost you.