How a Professional Punter Breaks Down the Japan Cup
The eight factors I use to filter a Japan Cup field before I even look at the market.
Video
Why I Listen to Trainer Interviews After a Race
A short post-race trainer interview can explain why a horse has jumped to a new level, and why the market hasn't caught up.
Where Does the Melbourne Cup Winner Sit in the Run?
Only three horses since 2000 have won the Melbourne Cup from the first four, so where is the real sweet spot in the run?
How Should You Set Your Staking Plan as a Punter?
How to set a staking plan: pick a bankroll, bet to win five percent of it, cap each bet and each race, and reset after a losing day.
Why Betting Against Top Weights Pays in Group Races
A big weight spread in a group race pulls the top weights back and lifts the lightly weighted horses, and that is where the value sits.
"What Should I Do When My Punting Gets Out of Control?"
When the punt gets out of control, the only move is to stop and walk away. The way to avoid it in the first place is planning your selections and your staking for a day when nothing wins.
Why Is a Horse $2 When the Ratings Don't Support It?
A horse can sit at $2 without topping the ratings, because the market is pricing what it is about to do, not what it has already done.