Why the Barrier Draw Can Flip a Previous Result
Why a horse beating another last start can mean little once the barriers reverse, and how a wide draw creates problems either way.
barrier draw
"How Much Does A Wide Barrier Really Cost A Horse?"
A wide barrier can stop a horse using its speed at all, which is why the same horse can look ordinary one start and strong the next.
Why Being Drawn Wide Is a Bigger Worry Than People Think
A wide barrier can undo a horse's best strength, because a high cruising metric only matters if it can actually cross to the fence.