"Why Did This Horse Get Beaten Three Lengths?"
A three length beating can be misleading - here's how I use the replay to see how much extra ground a horse covered.
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Moruya Race 6 Preview: The Arrow Maps To Lead A Crawl
Moruya Race 6 preview: a very slow tempo hands The Arrow the front, and Kingsley's rated prices split hard from the market on three chances.
"Is It A Negative When Horses Run Past After The Post?"
When beaten horses sweep past the winner after the line, does that tell you anything about a horse going up in trip?
Can a Horse Carry Fifty Nine Kilos and Win a Melbourne Cup?
Can the best horse in the Melbourne Cup still win with 59 kilos, or does the weight beat class in the last 150 metres?
How Much Does Weight Really Matter in a Melbourne Cup?
Weight matters more the further a horse runs, and in a two mile handicap the winning weights sit in a fairly narrow band.
Why Extra Bets in a Race Wreck Your Profit
My top selection makes a profit, but my second, third and fourth picks all lose money. Here is why extra bets in a race kill your edge.
"Did You Let Emotion Take Over in the Melbourne Cup?"
Why I don't regret overstaking the Melbourne Cup, and how I keep a planned annual bet separate from my day-to-day staking.