How to Check If an Overseas Horse Can Handle a Fast Pace
Before backing an imported sprinter, I check whether its overseas form includes a run at the tempo I expect in the race ahead.
Video
Why Long Shots Can Show a Better Return With Fewer Winners
A low strike rate at big odds can return more than a high strike rate at short odds, and small samples do not prove much.
How a Cruising and Acceleration Rating Works in Race Analysis
What a cruising rating and an acceleration rating actually tell you, and why raw ratings can flatter a lightly weighted horse.
Why a Fast Last 200 Can Be Completely Misleading
A big last-200 figure off a crawling early tempo doesn't tell you much, so here's how I read acceleration in context.
"Why Do I Look for a Peak Rating in the Form?"
Why I hunt for a peak rating in the form, and why two horses on the same number can be heading in opposite directions.
How Much Do You Move Your Own Price When You Bet?
Betting at a high level shortens the very odds you need, and I estimate my own market impact at three to four per cent.
"Why Can't a Professional Punter Get a Bet On?"
Why a professional punter can only get a few hundred dollars on, and why the 9am minimum bet rule should start earlier.