The Hidden Metrics That Found $11 Winners Last Saturday

There are two ways most punters try to find a winner.

They either:

1. Back the horse they “like”
2. Back the horse the market “likes”

And both fail long term.

What if instead, you looked at how a race was likely to be run — before you even looked at a name?

That’s what Race Pressure and Cruising Metrics allow us to do. And last Saturday, they lit up like a Christmas tree.

Race Pressure: Your Early Warning System

In Episode 11 of The Grind, I broke down how race pressure predicted a “leader’s day” at Caulfield well before the first got run.

• Very slow pressure? On-pacers dominate.
• Very fast? Set-up for strong closers.
• Combine that with how a horse settles (Cruising Metric), and you’ve got a blueprint.

That’s how we found winners like:

• She’s Bulletproof – Perfect profile, high cruising, slow pressure
• Transatlantic – On-pacer in a no-pressure race
• Autumn Angel – Elite early position with barrier 1 and top cruising number

These weren’t guesses. They were setups.

The $11 Lesson: Price + Setup = Profit

A horse starting $11 means nothing on its own. What matters is: did you get the right setup at the right price?

Valiant King had top CAM figures and opened $91. It started $41 and won. If you were using the Price Tracker and watching overlays, it was there.

Most punters won’t ever see it — because they’re looking for the “best horse”, not the best scenario.

And that’s why most punters lose.

Don’t Let the Carnival Beat You

Spring is the most dangerous time to punt emotionally.

Everyone’s punting. Markets are sharper. Noise is louder. If you’re not using tools like Race Pressure, CAM, and Bullet Price overlays, you’re guessing. And the game’s too hard to guess.

But if you’re using the tools and applying the structure — you don’t just survive spring, you profit from it.

👉 Watch The Grind: Episode 11

See how the metrics worked in real races — and how to use them this week.

Stay in the game,
The King Zone Team