Moir Stakes Mayhem, The Big Five Mares & The Grind That Never Stops

The great game is heating up. Spring is here, and last Saturday felt like a genuine shift in momentum. We witnessed something special. And for those of us in The Den, it wasn't just the races that got us buzzing—it was the structure, the setups, the process proving itself again.

Let’s start with what had everyone talking.

🌟 Treasure the Moment Declares Herself

In what will go down as a turning-point performance, Treasure the Moment didn't just win last week—she dismantled a field full of genuine weight-for-age stars. As we said post-race, take out Aliana and Via Sestina, and Treasure made the rest look like Benchmark 78 horses.

"She’s a freak," Fitz said. And he wasn't wrong.

This isn’t just recency bias. With the return of Lady Shenandoah this week and big targets like the Cox Plate, Makybe Diva Stakes, and Caulfield Cup looming, the rise of The Big Five Mares is the narrative punters can’t ignore.

Via Sestina – Proven but vulnerable
Treasure the Moment – Freaky acceleration, versatile, ready to take the crown
Aliana – Back on track and looming
Autumn Glow – Untapped
Lady Shenandoah – Returning with Everest ambitions

We could be witnessing a generational shift in Australia's staying and middle-distance ranks.

🏎️ Moir Stakes: Pressure Makes Diamonds (or Breaks Them)

The only Group 1 1000m dash of the spring gave us one of the most punter-testing puzzles of the season. With Alabama Lass returning from a bias-aided Flemington win and the speedy Esher facing a pressure cooker for the first time, we circled this race as a "no bet" or "edge finder only" type affair.

But as Kingsley said:

"When they all go mad up front, it's the runners with tactical versatility that win."

So we landed on Niance and Skybird as the two horses that:

Can handle speed pressure
Have sustained late sprints
Offer real betting value

Niance in particular got a "max bet" tag from Kings, with Skybird the logical chaser.

🏋️ Randwick Rundown

Concorde Stakes: Bookies had it stitched up. All three favs were vulnerable: first-up, short of preferred distance, or drawn awkwardly.

Kings liked Generosity as the blowout
Market likely to drift on Lady Shenandoah
Headwall and Jimmy Starr had the talent, but setup questions lingered

Chelmsford Stakes: The classic "too many chances" race.

Cheowulf looked the winner but was under the odds
Sir Delius and Vauban had serious setups, but cup prep made backing them unattractive
No official bets, but good for mapping fitness and spring targets

Tramway Stakes:

Private Eye is a serious racehorse. The map, the fitness, and Nash on board = hard to beat
Pericles looked overs and likely to be on-speed with a chance
Swift Falcon and Linebacker had knock factors, including costliness and sticky maps

🧬 Honourable Mentions:

Weagle Tiger and Electric Tommy got the official tip nod
Fitz landed 4 of 5 last week. This week: Spirit of Wealth, Rockfest, Desert Lightning

⚡ Kingzone Homework & Mindset

The D. Lane marathon story gave us this week's mindset cue:

42km in 2h42m, off the back of a Group 1 win.

What’s that tell us? Elite performance is about staying in the game, managing your body, managing your mind.

Same in punting.

The Saturday Set crew signed off with this reminder:

It’s a grind.
There are no certainties.
Stick to your edge.

And if you want to test your legs: Jack your treadmill up to 15.6 and see how long you last. That’s what D. Lane ran.

We'll stick to betting.

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