Ka Ying Rising vs The Everest: Is He Unbeatable on Aussie Soil?

At a time when Australian sprinting stocks are arguably at their weakest in two decades, Ka Ying Rising, a Hong Kong-based phenom, has been confirmed for The Everest 2025. This has set the stage for a global sprint showdown — and quite possibly a rude awakening for local hopes.

Ka Ying Rising isn’t just good. He’s elite. With 13 wins from 15 starts (and 12 in a row), four Group 1s, and two world-class WFA Performance Ratings of 110, he’s produced numbers that most current Aussie sprinters simply can’t match. Those 110s came in dominant 1200m wins in the Centenary Sprint Cup and the Chairman’s Sprint Prize at Sha Tin.

But here’s where it gets scary.

Satono Reve, who Ka Ying Rising beat by 2.3 lengths in April, ran a close second in the QEII Jubilee at Royal Ascot in June — proving the form well and truly stacks up globally.

The Local Sprint Scene: A Harsh Reality Check

Australian sprinters have historically dominated the global speed scene. But lately? Not so much.

Only Imperatriz and Switzerland have posted Group 1 ratings above 106 in the last two seasons. Current contenders like Private Harry (102.3), Briasa (103.8), and Joliestar (105 peak, but trending down) don’t look capable of producing the 110+ needed to beat Ka Ying Rising.

In The King Zone's framework, we call this “understanding the winning standard”. Ka Ying Rising has already hit that standard — multiple times. Most others haven’t even sniffed it.

Is There a Threat at All?

Yes, but ironically, it might come from overseas again.

Lazzat, the French sprinter who defeated Satono Reve at Royal Ascot with a 106.5 rating, looms as the one true wildcard. Trained as a pure sprinter now and proven to travel, Lazzat could turn The Everest into a genuine match race — if connections choose to chase the Sydney cash over Hong Kong prestige.

The Travel Factor: Ka Ying Rising’s Only Question Mark

Ka Ying Rising has never raced outside Hong Kong. That’s not just trivia — it’s a real variable.

From The King Zone perspective, this falls under “variance management” — a key lesson we teach all punters.

Still, if Ka Ying Rising brings even his “secondary” form (107+), it might be lights out.

Looking Back: How Does He Stack Up Historically?

He’s not Black Caviar (114–116+), nor is he quite Nature Strip (peaked at 112). But he’s not far off. And unlike many Aussie stars of recent years, he’s consistent — producing 104+ in eight straight runs. That level of sustained excellence is rare.

Team TKZ On The Everest 2025

Scott Fitzsimmons Take
“Ka Ying Rising might only have one real threat — and it’s not Lazzat, it’s a wet track. He’s never raced on anything softer than Good. If Sydney turns up rain affected in October, the form might go out the window. Lazzat could thrive in that scenario — he’s won 6 from 7 on soft or heavy ground. Private Harry is also 3 from 3 on the soft. You’d want better than $1.90 about Ka Ying Rising if the track was heavy. If it rains, things get interesting.”

Matt Taylor's Take
“Private Harry is tracking as Australia’s best sprinter — he’s on an upward spiral. But Ka Ying Rising is no doubt the one to beat and has a racing style built for The Everest.”

Kingsley Bartholomew's Take
“Ka Ying Rising is $1.80 now — that’s a crazy short price this far out from the race. No doubt he has the clear top ratings and a magnificent motor, plus the ability to put himself in the perfect spot. But my concern is the travel — he’s a 4YO who’s never left Hong Kong.

Briasa and Private Harry will keep improving, and I can’t wait to see what Autumn Glow does this spring. If you’re keen on Ka Ying Rising and haven’t backed him yet, I’d wait until raceday — I think you’ll get a better price. I’m not committing to anything just yet.”

Final Word: Stay in the Game

The Everest 2025 is shaping as a global sprint classic. But for Aussie punters, it might also be a wake-up call. If Ka Ying Rising lands and delivers, the gap between our best and the world’s best will be plain to see.

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